He waits Lebanon Impatiently announcing the ceasefire agreement, on which he pins his hopes of ending the ongoing Israeli aggression, which has so far resulted in the death of 3,583 people and the injury of 15,244 others, and although talk about the timing of the announcement of this agreement remains ambiguous, the visit of the American envoy Amos Hockstein to Beirut Tel Aviv has finished, but the date for the announcement has not been set yet.
Changing the rules of engagement between Israel and Hezbollah
In this regard, Dr. Tariq Fahmy, professor of political science, said that the attack on Lebanon represents the beginning of establishing a new situation in the region, and is a step towards changing the rules of engagement between… Israel And Hezbollah, and these attacks represent a turning point in the relationship between the two parties, as they came outside the usual contexts witnessed in previous confrontations between the party and Israel in previous periods, and these attacks are considered the beginning of a new phase that may have major repercussions on the level of the future conflict between the two sides.
Fahmy added – during statements to “Sada El Balad” – that the aim of the attacks launched by the Israeli occupation forces is to achieve immediate goals related to the strategic interests of the Israeli government towards Hezbollah, and these attacks appear to be linked to Israel’s desire to change the dynamics of the confrontation with the party, and to influence its position in the conflict. The next stage: Although this escalation follows previous contexts, it carries within it a clear intention to change the rules of engagement.
Fahmi pointed out that there is agreement among senior military and political leaders in Israel on the necessity of carrying out a military operation against Hezbollah. Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Galant, Chief of Staff Aviv Kochavi, and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, in addition to operations officers in the General Staff, met and agreed. To implement this military operation, this coordination between the military and political leadership reflects Israel’s determination to escalate this conflict and achieve certain strategic goals.
For his part, the Secretary-General of the Lebanese Hezbollah, Sheikh Naim Qassem, said that the success of the negotiations depends on Israel’s response and Netanyahu’s seriousness. Qassem emphasized two main conditions as “red lines” in any agreement, which are the complete cessation of Israeli aggression, and the preservation of Lebanon’s sovereignty.
Ceasefire in Lebanon
The Israeli “Channel 13” revealed some details of the draft ceasefire agreement in Lebanon – parts of which were leaked through Israeli media – the most important of which is a clause related to granting the Israeli army a 60-day period to complete its withdrawal from southern Lebanon after the agreement enters into force and the commitment of both parties to implement the two Council decisions. Security 1559 and 1701.
The draft also stipulates that with the entry into force of the agreement, Hezbollah and all armed factions in Lebanon will not attack Israel, in exchange for Israel’s pledge not to carry out operations inside Lebanon, including civilian and governmental targets. The agreement also guarantees preventing the strengthening of Hezbollah’s capabilities in Lebanon.
It also includes an additional annex between Israel and the United States, which provides American guarantees regarding support for the freedom of Israeli military action in Lebanon, to respond to any immediate threats that violate the agreement. This agreement also paves the way for future indirect negotiations regarding the demarcation of the land borders, as the two parties call on the United States and the community. The international community called for supporting indirect negotiations on the demarcation of land borders, with the aim of reaching a permanent settlement based on the Blue Line.
The US Warranties Supplement states: Tel Aviv And Washington, according to “Channel 13”, affirms that Israel has the right to act against the immediate threats coming from Lebanon, and that Israel has the right to defend itself and ensure its security on the northern border, and is committed to US By helping Israel defend its security.
On the other hand, a senior Lebanese official said that Lebanon is seeking to introduce amendments to an American ceasefire proposal in order to ensure a faster withdrawal of Israeli forces from southern Lebanon and grant both parties the right to self-defense.
Lebanese officials requested the amendments during meetings with American mediator Amos Hockstein in Beirut that took place last week.
Hockstein previously met with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Israel Katz, who confirmed during his meeting with the leaders of the Intelligence Division that any political settlement in Lebanon will depend on Israel’s “capacity and right” to act against Hezbollah.
Deployment of the Lebanese army
It is worth noting that the Lebanese army will be deployed at all land and sea crossings, whether official or unofficial, with the establishment of a special committee under the leadership of the United States to supervise potential violations of the agreement.
The committee’s tasks include supervising the dismantling of terrorist sites and infrastructure above and below ground.
There are points that are still a matter of disagreement between the parties to the agreement, most notably the clause that gives Israel the right to act against immediate threats from Lebanon, in addition to Washington’s supervision of the committee designated to monitor violations, which Lebanon rejects in light of the United States’ complete bias toward Israel and its absolute support for it.
